AP Macroeconomics Notes: International Trade and Finance
International Trade
Benefits of International Trade:
- Increased economic growth: Trade allows countries to specialize in producing and exporting goods and services they can produce most efficiently, leading to overall economic expansion.
- Lower consumer prices: Imports from foreign countries with lower production costs can reduce prices for domestic consumers.
- Greater variety and innovation: International trade exposes consumers to new products and services, fostering innovation and competition.
- Job creation: Export industries create jobs and stimulate related industries.
Costs of International Trade:
- Job losses: Imports from low-wage countries can displace domestic workers in competing industries.
- Increased income inequality: Trade can benefit certain industries and workers more than others, leading to income disparities.
- Environmental concerns: Production and transportation of goods for export can contribute to environmental pollution and degradation.
Balance of Trade
The balance of trade is the difference between the value of a country’s exports and imports. A positive balance of trade indicates a trade surplus, while a negative balance indicates a trade deficit.
Factors Affecting Balance of Trade:
- Exchange rates: A stronger currency makes a country’s exports more expensive and imports cheaper, affecting the balance of trade.
- Government policies: Tariffs, quotas, and subsidies can affect the volume and prices of traded goods.
- Economic conditions: Economic growth, inflation, and interest rates can impact trade flows.
Balance of Payments
The balance of payments is a record of all economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world over a specific period, typically a year. It includes the balance of trade but also other factors such as:
- Current account: Includes trade in goods and services, net income on investment, and unilateral transfers (e.g., foreign aid).
- Capital account: Records transactions involving the purchase and sale of assets between residents and non-residents of a country.
- Financial account: Measures changes in foreign assets and liabilities held by residents and non-residents.
Surpluses and Deficits in Balance of Payments:
- Current account surplus: Occurs when the value of a country’s exports exceeds its imports. This leads to an increase in foreign exchange reserves.
- Current account deficit: Occurs when imports exceed exports. This requires a country to draw down on its foreign exchange reserves or borrow from abroad.
Exchange Rates
Exchange rates are the prices of currencies in terms of each other. They determine the value of one currency relative to another and affect the competitiveness of a country’s exports and imports.
Types of Exchange Rate Systems:
- Fixed exchange rate: The value of a currency is pegged to a fixed level against another currency or a basket of currencies.
- Floating exchange rate: The value of a currency fluctuates freely in response to supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.
Factors Affecting Exchange Rates:
- Interest rates: Higher interest rates can attract foreign investment, increasing the demand for a country’s currency and raising its value.
- Economic growth: Strong economic growth can increase the demand for a country’s goods and services, leading to a stronger currency.
- Political stability: Political instability can reduce investor confidence and weaken a currency.
International Monetary System
The international monetary system is a set of rules and institutions that facilitate international trade and financial transactions. It includes:
- International Monetary Fund (IMF): Promotes international monetary cooperation, provides financial assistance to member countries, and monitors global economic developments.
- World Bank: Provides financial assistance to developing countries for infrastructure, education, and other projects.
- Bank for International Settlements (BIS): Acts as a central bank for central banks, facilitating financial transactions and promoting financial stability.
Global Financial Crises
Global financial crises occur when there is a widespread loss of confidence in the financial system, leading to a sharp contraction in credit and economic activity.
Causes of Global Financial Crises:
- Asset bubbles: Excessive speculation and risk-taking in financial markets can lead to bubbles that eventually burst.
- Systemic risks: Interconnections between financial institutions and markets can amplify losses, creating a systemic crisis.
- Policy failures: Inadequate regulation and oversight can contribute to financial instability.
Consequences of Global Financial Crises:
- Economic recession: Crises can lead to a sharp decline in economic growth and increased unemployment.
- Financial instability: Financial institutions can fail or become insolvent, disrupting the financial system.
- Social and political costs: Crises can undermine public trust in the financial system and governments.